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Dec 6, 2012
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early thanksgiving, hurricane sandy. is this rally at the end of the day having anything to do with any anticipation of the jobs report? what are you looking for? >> no, i don't think so. we're looking for almost exactly half. we had 171,000. the consensus is 85 to 90,000. we're looking at half. i understand that, you know, superstorm san difs a horrible event, and i am sure it's going to take some jobs out, but it's going to also be a bit of an excusetrending well. i'll give you an example. wells fargo gallup does a small survey. on hiring, small businesses dropped to the lowest level of opt miimism in four years. it doesn't matter what ben bernanke does. i think his programs have long since not really helped the employment side, but the fiscal cliff is doing obvious damage. that's going to make what everybody knows is coming. we ran out of two years to sell. they're going to go from a twist to outright purchases. it's fully built into the market, but it isn't going to help. the fiscal cliff is going to do more damage t
early thanksgiving, hurricane sandy. is this rally at the end of the day having anything to do with any anticipation of the jobs report? what are you looking for? >> no, i don't think so. we're looking for almost exactly half. we had 171,000. the consensus is 85 to 90,000. we're looking at half. i understand that, you know, superstorm san difs a horrible event, and i am sure it's going to take some jobs out, but it's going to also be a bit of an excusetrending well. i'll give you an...
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Dec 7, 2012
12/12
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now, again, back to hurricane sandy. from the commissioner's statement, the storm we saw happen on october 29th, the next pay period ended on november 12th. the way bls essentially keeps score it says workers have to be off work for the entire pay period to be counted on the negative side. on the household survey side, persons who missed work for weather-related events are counted as employed whether or not they are paid for the time off. we did have a drop in the labor force participation rate, down 0.2 to 63.6%. how did we get to 7.7% unemployment? basically the number of unemployed persons dropped more than the number of employed and there were downward trends in both those categories. lots to chew on. back to you guys. >> hampton, thank you. we are kind of scratching our heads. let's get more reaction from our panel. mark zandi and jared bernstein are here with us. mark, what do you make of this number? we've set this up as numbers were not going to be things we watched closely because of sandy. >> i'd say two things
now, again, back to hurricane sandy. from the commissioner's statement, the storm we saw happen on october 29th, the next pay period ended on november 12th. the way bls essentially keeps score it says workers have to be off work for the entire pay period to be counted on the negative side. on the household survey side, persons who missed work for weather-related events are counted as employed whether or not they are paid for the time off. we did have a drop in the labor force participation...
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Dec 5, 2012
12/12
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we believe that the effect of the payroll will be at 50,000 range due to the effect of hurricane sandy which could put our unemployment up to an 8% rate. >> all right. we'll be watching that. thanks very much to you both. we appreciate it. of course we'll be looking at this market and whether or not it loses the steam come the big rally today. ticktock, ticktock on the fiscal cliff. my thoughts on the story from timothy geithner. guess what, folks. i think we're going over the cliff. back in a moment. are system spoke a language all its own with unitedhealthcare, i got help that fit my life. information on my phone. connection to doctors who get where i'm from. and tools to estimate what my care may cost. so i never missed a beat. we're more than 78,000 people looking out for more than 70 million americans. that's health in numbers. unitedhealthcare. with the spark cash card from capital one, sven gets great rewards for his small business! how does this thing work? oh, i like it! [ garth ] sven's small business earns 2% cash back on every purchase, every day! woo-hoo!!! so that's ten s
we believe that the effect of the payroll will be at 50,000 range due to the effect of hurricane sandy which could put our unemployment up to an 8% rate. >> all right. we'll be watching that. thanks very much to you both. we appreciate it. of course we'll be looking at this market and whether or not it loses the steam come the big rally today. ticktock, ticktock on the fiscal cliff. my thoughts on the story from timothy geithner. guess what, folks. i think we're going over the cliff. back...
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Dec 7, 2012
12/12
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you had sandy. i mean, it may be -- the journal argued it's the least important jobs number in five years. >> i saw that. i do think one thing we can certainly say given that china seems to be stabilizing a bit, we can all discuss europe. greek situation. maybe it's off the front pages for a while. and so if we assume that the jobs picture in the u.s. is not bad, let's assume not bad, it puts even more of a focus on the fiscal cliff negotiations because it becomes even more binding one would assume in terms of good or bad for the market, for the economy. >> kernen had a good point. does strength mean the economy could handle a cliff or is it so good you wouldn't want to tamper -- >> if i wanted to create a recession, what would i do? i would raise everybody's rates. i would cut the unemployment benefit. just trying to think of a theory of how i could cause a recession. i would cut back government spending quickly. >> i would raise interest rates to 20%. >> bernanke ought to join the -- look, i think
you had sandy. i mean, it may be -- the journal argued it's the least important jobs number in five years. >> i saw that. i do think one thing we can certainly say given that china seems to be stabilizing a bit, we can all discuss europe. greek situation. maybe it's off the front pages for a while. and so if we assume that the jobs picture in the u.s. is not bad, let's assume not bad, it puts even more of a focus on the fiscal cliff negotiations because it becomes even more binding one...
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Dec 6, 2012
12/12
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estimation now trading in the low 50s, moves to the upper 50s, it's digesting the negativity surrounding sandy and its geographic location well. they've got the cash in hand to fund this. this is a solid company. >> dennis gould is sitting at 1700, not talking about a special dividend here but is it going to pay dividends to own gold? >> i think owning gold in dollars has been a bad trade for a while. i'm bullish for gold in non-u.s. dollar terms, in yen terms and if you own gold in yen terms over the course of the last two months you are profitable. somebody owns gold in dollar terms is down several points. gold is nothing more than another currency, crossed against other currencies and there's nothing spectacular about gold, it's just a currency. >> call it a slick slide for oil, crude falling 2% nearing its lowest level in three weeks. for more let's go to jackie deangelis, the host of "futures now." >> crude having a tough day, the question is why. look at this chart dollar strength is causing major pain for oil, our question today is there more to selling than just the dollar rally? let's
estimation now trading in the low 50s, moves to the upper 50s, it's digesting the negativity surrounding sandy and its geographic location well. they've got the cash in hand to fund this. this is a solid company. >> dennis gould is sitting at 1700, not talking about a special dividend here but is it going to pay dividends to own gold? >> i think owning gold in dollars has been a bad trade for a while. i'm bullish for gold in non-u.s. dollar terms, in yen terms and if you own gold in...
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Dec 6, 2012
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as soon as you get done figuring out, how much is sandy, how much is not sandy, we have to start dealing with the fiscal cliff so there's a shock behind us and a shock in front of us. so we're in limbo right now. and we're expecting a big effect from sandy in the friday number, especially in maybe the household survey, they moved the survey week back a week. because of an early thanksgiving. they do that -- so instead of it being the week of the 12th, it's the week of the 5th. >> so this number is going to tell us nothing tomorrow? > know there's going to be a lot of discussion about it. i'll stick to my guns, it's a 125 to 150 economy growth some of that could be sandy. i don't donknow if you want to k about that chart. this looks at the net effect acceptable. if 30% say it's acceptable and 20% say -- these are what we asked people. how many is that? that's five of eight different solutions. >> people say, yes, we're okay dealing with the fiscal cliff, if you raise taxes on those who make more than $250,000 and then you cap deductions, and virtually everything else is off the table. >>
as soon as you get done figuring out, how much is sandy, how much is not sandy, we have to start dealing with the fiscal cliff so there's a shock behind us and a shock in front of us. so we're in limbo right now. and we're expecting a big effect from sandy in the friday number, especially in maybe the household survey, they moved the survey week back a week. because of an early thanksgiving. they do that -- so instead of it being the week of the 12th, it's the week of the 5th. >> so this...
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Dec 5, 2012
12/12
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you have fiscal cliff, you have hurricane sandy. are you optimistic about what's happening in the economy if you take out the potential shocks? >> i don't think we make any change at all. i think the job market is producing 150,000 jobs per month, that's what we've been producing since the beginning of the year, over the past year, past two years, some months we're a little lower, higher, sometimes seasonal adjustment. if you take this month's number and x out sandy, that's over 200,000. >> that will add some jobs, that's not a fair comparison. >> so 200,000 minus 60 is 150 -- >> so you're right there. >> i don't think the economy has chang chang changed deappreciably over the last year. >> well, i think coming into friday's number, we're a little -- we don't think there's 80,000 worth of impact, might be closer to 40,000 or 50,000. whatever, there's been an impact and i agree with mark's point, 1 in about 150,000 job creation in the economy and i don't know that meaningfully changes. but i would say, if anything, the bias next year
you have fiscal cliff, you have hurricane sandy. are you optimistic about what's happening in the economy if you take out the potential shocks? >> i don't think we make any change at all. i think the job market is producing 150,000 jobs per month, that's what we've been producing since the beginning of the year, over the past year, past two years, some months we're a little lower, higher, sometimes seasonal adjustment. if you take this month's number and x out sandy, that's over 200,000....
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Dec 8, 2012
12/12
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. >> president obama is asking congress for more than $60 billion for states affected by superstorm sandy. officials from states hardest hit say the money is just a start. with the fiscal cliff looming the staff is sure to face some resistance on capitol hill. >>> he spoke at this year's democratic national convention as an independent, but now former republican florida governor charlie crist is a proud democrat. crist posted a twitter photo friday showing his registration papers tweeting that he's proud and honored to join the party in the home of president obama. crist ran for the u.s. senate as an independent in 2010, but was defeated by marco rubio. some are speculating this move is in preparation for another run for governor against rick scott in 2014. >>> the supreme court has decided to take up two major same-sex marriage cases. the first is the defense of marriage act. the 1996 law denies federal benefits to legally married same-sex couples. right now around 120,000 legally married same-sex couples in the u.s. the second is california's proposition 8. that made same-sex marriage i
. >> president obama is asking congress for more than $60 billion for states affected by superstorm sandy. officials from states hardest hit say the money is just a start. with the fiscal cliff looming the staff is sure to face some resistance on capitol hill. >>> he spoke at this year's democratic national convention as an independent, but now former republican florida governor charlie crist is a proud democrat. crist posted a twitter photo friday showing his registration papers...
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Dec 10, 2012
12/12
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some of that is sandy. you can't disentangle it. i'm sure it would have been better if it weren't for the uncertainty. we saw how bad it was in the summer of '11 and it will be the same now. >> i very much agree with ian on this point, that the uncertainty is associated with the fiscal cliff is at least a percentage point on the fourth quarter. and could be more than that. it's just a lurking weight on the business sector. and if we are going to get this growth, i think we've got to have a little bit more certainty on taxes, on regulation, and the trajectory of fiscal policy going forward. >> what i hear you both saying, though, and you're talking about spending issue, and not worrying so much about that, but i also hear you saying it would be a big mistake to raise taxes. >> absolutely. yeah. >> but the top 2%, is that the least deleterious people to raise it on? >> yeah, it would be. but right now i'd prefer not to raise taxes on anybody. but if you're going to do it, then the people at the lowest propensity to consume -- >> you d
some of that is sandy. you can't disentangle it. i'm sure it would have been better if it weren't for the uncertainty. we saw how bad it was in the summer of '11 and it will be the same now. >> i very much agree with ian on this point, that the uncertainty is associated with the fiscal cliff is at least a percentage point on the fourth quarter. and could be more than that. it's just a lurking weight on the business sector. and if we are going to get this growth, i think we've got to have...
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Dec 3, 2012
12/12
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found in a house with his arms tightly wrapped around their son trying to protect him as hurricane sandy swept them both away. he was a former marine. that's a hero, too. we don't build statues of these people and may not even notice them, but they don't care about that because their actions are not calculated to gain recognition or reward. what they do is who they are. all over the world right now people are putting this principle into action and saving lives. these heroes speak one language. the language of humanity. there are different kinds of heroes around us, those who in that unforgiving minute rise to the occasion when the moment calls for it, and they really are hereios that wake up every morning and humbly change the world. you think you got what it takes to be a hero. we all asked ourselves that question. i think we do. because these heroes, they are you. just ordinary people until they are here heroes. and we need those heroes more than ever. >> ladies and gentlemen, please welcome anderson cooper. >> good evening, everyone and welcome to cnn heroes, "an all-star tribute" the
found in a house with his arms tightly wrapped around their son trying to protect him as hurricane sandy swept them both away. he was a former marine. that's a hero, too. we don't build statues of these people and may not even notice them, but they don't care about that because their actions are not calculated to gain recognition or reward. what they do is who they are. all over the world right now people are putting this principle into action and saving lives. these heroes speak one language....
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morning as officials from northeast push for billions of dollars in federal aid in the wake of hurricane sandy. senators from hard-hit states are among those scheduled to test final the governors of new jersey, new york and connecticut are teaming up to request almost $83 billion in federal help. >>> also on capitol hill, the senate has just passed its version of a defense bill. it's a $631 billion measure. it calls for a quicker withdrawal of u.s. troops from afghanistan and tougher sanctions on iran. it would also give military personnel a 1.7% raise. that vote was 98-0. unanimous. the senate and house must work out a compromise. >>> now we turn to egypt where tv stations are expected to go dark today in protest over the president's recent power grab. tensions are still simmering as thousands of demonstrators have taken their anger back to tahrir square. abc's alex marquardt reports. >> reporter: they came by the tens of thousands, hurling stones, pulling down barricades, riot police fired volumes of tear gas and retreated. as the masses grew, president mohammed morsi left the palace. ever s
morning as officials from northeast push for billions of dollars in federal aid in the wake of hurricane sandy. senators from hard-hit states are among those scheduled to test final the governors of new jersey, new york and connecticut are teaming up to request almost $83 billion in federal help. >>> also on capitol hill, the senate has just passed its version of a defense bill. it's a $631 billion measure. it calls for a quicker withdrawal of u.s. troops from afghanistan and tougher...
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Dec 5, 2012
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told us that on the east coast lots of potential workers, they took fema positions to help out with sandy recovery. many of those jobs last longer than what ups can offer. experts say that that's also part of the problem, but the fact that people want to hold out for more permanent better paying jobs, but, susan, one other thing here, the issue of filling positions isn't just in lower paying fields. there's currently a big skilled worker shortage, but one consulting group says it's not that there's not workers out there. it's that companies, they're being too selective about who they hire, and they don't pay competitive wages, suzanne. >> wow. complicated picture there, but yol a lot of people still out of work. some companies can't fill positions. thank you. appreciate it. >>> they're smart, right? they're playful? very intelligent. why would someone want to kill dolphins? we are searching for a killer. e just right. perfection is in the details. ♪ get to holiday fun faster with pillsbury cookie dough. hurry in and try five succulent entrees, like our tender snow crab paired with savor
told us that on the east coast lots of potential workers, they took fema positions to help out with sandy recovery. many of those jobs last longer than what ups can offer. experts say that that's also part of the problem, but the fact that people want to hold out for more permanent better paying jobs, but, susan, one other thing here, the issue of filling positions isn't just in lower paying fields. there's currently a big skilled worker shortage, but one consulting group says it's not that...
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Dec 2, 2012
12/12
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tons of those rooms were left vacant for sandy victims and have gone unused and the taxpayers will now have to foot that bill. 73%, how many americans would rather have a cash bonus instead of a holiday work party or gift. the next best thing, a raise. finally, $20,000, that's all you have to fork over for a flash mob proposal at a fancy new york city bistro, it's being auctioned off on a website. there you go. and well, the grinch may not be the only one out trying to steal your grinch this season. holiday gifts through the mail, an opportunity too tempting for them to ignore. they're intercepting thousands of packages, walking up and grabbing them off someone's doorstep and taking it home myself. running away and identity theft expert, joins us now with how to protect yourself and your gifts this holiday season. robert, nice to see you this morning. >> good morning. >> so, let's walk through some of the tips here, first you say, install a locking mailbox at home. on the inside or outside, it doesn't matter, right? >>. >> on the outside of your home, a locking you mailbox, the postal
tons of those rooms were left vacant for sandy victims and have gone unused and the taxpayers will now have to foot that bill. 73%, how many americans would rather have a cash bonus instead of a holiday work party or gift. the next best thing, a raise. finally, $20,000, that's all you have to fork over for a flash mob proposal at a fancy new york city bistro, it's being auctioned off on a website. there you go. and well, the grinch may not be the only one out trying to steal your grinch this...
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. >> i'm looking to see what kind of impact sandy had on those numbers and maybe fiscal cliff holding some employers back tomorrow. >> so bad news? >> we'll see. >> for now we all know the siren mogul. >> but the ceo, howard schultz, some sobering advice to offer on the looming fiscal cliff. the consequences will be worse than last area's debt ceiling fight, when the u.s. credit rating was downgraded for the first time ever. his message to lawmakers, now is not the time to play politics. you've got to do the right thing for the american people. >> i think if people would get in the room and leave their ego behind and not be so skewed towards the party, but be so sensitive to the lens to have the american people, we will have an agreement. >> poppy harlow joins us now with more of her conversation with howard schultz. much of the conversation has been about, you know, what's the best thing to do for this country, but it's a globe -- he says the whole world is watching. >> yeah, that it has massive consequences for the entire world. but you want to ask someone like howard schultz who ru
. >> i'm looking to see what kind of impact sandy had on those numbers and maybe fiscal cliff holding some employers back tomorrow. >> so bad news? >> we'll see. >> for now we all know the siren mogul. >> but the ceo, howard schultz, some sobering advice to offer on the looming fiscal cliff. the consequences will be worse than last area's debt ceiling fight, when the u.s. credit rating was downgraded for the first time ever. his message to lawmakers, now is not the...
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the republican governor was here in washington to talk about hurricane sandy relief efforts, and now they're in danger of going over the fiscal cliff with the rest of the country at the end of the month. our national political correspondent jim acosta has been covering this story for us. what's the latest with chris christie in washington. >> reporter: this is some of the unintended consequences of the fiscal cliff. after a series of meetings with the president and house speaker john boehner, new jersey governor chris christie had little to say as he left washington, but as other senators we spoke to see it, the jersey shore may be running head on into the fiscal cliff. he visited the president at the white house, then he met with senators from his own state before slipping in to meet the speaker of the house. >> going home, guys. see you later. >> reporter: but then chris christie, a potential presidential candidate who is rarely at a loss for words, departed the nation's capital in near total silence. as it turns out, the new jersey governor's quest for money to rebuild the battere
the republican governor was here in washington to talk about hurricane sandy relief efforts, and now they're in danger of going over the fiscal cliff with the rest of the country at the end of the month. our national political correspondent jim acosta has been covering this story for us. what's the latest with chris christie in washington. >> reporter: this is some of the unintended consequences of the fiscal cliff. after a series of meetings with the president and house speaker john...